Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.588472 1.854960 2.132207 2.440604 2.772558 3.117734 3.502430
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.140036 1.503194 1.904730 2.374804 2.903759 3.475040 4.133371
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.900624 1.304761 1.772233 2.339074 2.995486 3.721095 4.573822
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.751424 1.188885 1.715907 2.374334 3.154778 4.033333 5.081299
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.625391 1.080966 1.651848 2.384892 3.271822 4.285920 5.510718
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.503780 0.961576 1.560153 2.350633 3.326635 4.459363 5.843519
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.462979 0.946249 1.596288 2.470211 3.562826 4.842385 6.416858
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.429585 0.936475 1.636246 2.592064 3.800116 5.225804 6.990402
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.405187 0.936408 1.686811 2.725812 4.051043 5.625053 7.582639
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.390098 0.948262 1.752210 2.877900 4.324382 6.051246 8.207195
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.357026 0.927259 1.769289 2.964884 4.515214 6.377611 8.713534
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.308408 0.874327 1.737112 2.983591 4.617858 6.595811 9.090331
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.235673 0.772221 1.632518 2.908214 4.608046 6.687562 9.330702
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.174499 0.678350 1.532646 2.834344 4.597336 6.777125 9.568838
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.131647 0.609046 1.462650 2.795288 4.625866 6.909712 9.853381
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.108487 0.577023 1.448963 2.834101 4.755636 7.167850 10.290469
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.084845 0.536826 1.418219 2.845809 4.847651 7.377501 10.667590
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.059242 0.481060 1.356032 2.807951 4.870705 7.498446 10.934652
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.056091 0.490713 1.407953 2.939938 5.123958 7.911987 11.562987
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.053403 0.501182 1.461245 3.074158 5.380645 8.330475 12.198241
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.052157 0.516207 1.522832 3.221190 5.655281 8.772478 12.863407
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.052868 0.538150 1.597238 3.388035 5.957549 9.250430 13.573933
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.046925 0.534678 1.624658 3.483305 6.161859 9.603450 14.130198